empty
04.06.2025 09:10 AM
BTC/USD Analysis on June 4, 2025

This image is no longer relevant

The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for BTC/USD has become more complex. We observed a corrective downward structure that completed its formation around the $75,000 level. After that, a rather strong rise began, which could be an impulsive upward trend. The second wave of this segment appeared very small and quite unconvincing, but demand for Bitcoin continues to grow, signaling a "pump." It's worth noting that corrective three-wave structures can take absolutely any form. I do not rule out that such a structure has already been completed and a new decline in Bitcoin may be ahead.

The news background supports Bitcoin, but not always and not consistently. I would say that market participants themselves interpret any news in favor of the leading cryptocurrency — or simply ignore the news flow and just buy. We are observing the formation of a new upward trend segment based on emotions, demand, and belief in Bitcoin's sky-high future value. One way or another, Trump's tariffs and the risks of an economic slowdown no longer scare cryptocurrency traders. Previously, they triggered a flight from risk assets; now Bitcoin serves as a "safe haven from Trump's policies."

The BTC/USD exchange rate has risen significantly over the past eight weeks, with steady and consistent demand growth. Only in the last couple of weeks have we seen a corrective wave. Following the impulsive wave pattern, another fifth wave is still expected — and it could mark the end of the trend. Of course, no one knows yet how strong the fifth wave will be, or whether it will occur at all. No one knows how strong the next downward structure will be either. However, the current wave picture doesn't look too favorable for buyers. Their advantage is undeniable, but they have failed three times to push Bitcoin above the $110,000 level.

The news background over recent weeks cannot be called weak. Let me remind you that in the first two months of Trump's presidency, demand for Bitcoin only decreased. Many linked this decline to fears of an economic slowdown, complete economic uncertainty, and the trade war. However, after two months of turmoil, the market began to recover rapidly — something that cannot be explained by news, as the trade war hasn't de-escalated. Trump gave three months to the countries he imposed tariffs on — and so far, this has led nowhere. Only one trade deal — with the United Kingdom — has been reached, and according to media reports, it has not even been signed yet.

Thus, the economic situation has not become any "clearer," the prospects for the U.S. economy have not improved, and Trump's latest statements suggest the possibility of renewed escalation.

This image is no longer relevant

General Conclusions

Based on the BTC/USD analysis, I conclude that the upward wave structure continues to build, but it has a very strange nature and foundation. The news background has not caused Bitcoin's sharp rise, and around the $110,000 level, buyers are running out of strength for the third time in a row. If we abstract away from wave analysis, I would say that a new downward trend segment is being prepared. In the near future, a decline toward $101,500 is possible, corresponding to the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level.

On a larger wave scale, the upward trend segment continues to form, but its internal wave structure is very ambiguous due to the near absence of corrective waves.

The Main Principles of My Analysis:

  1. Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often prone to change.
  2. If you are uncertain about market conditions, it's better not to enter.
  3. Absolute certainty about the market's direction does not exist. Always use protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
InstaForex के विश्लेषणात्मक विशेषज्ञ
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Alexander Dneprovskiy
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • चैन्सी डिपॉजिट
    $ 3,000 के साथ अपना खाता जमा करें और प्राप्त करें $4000 अधिक!
    में जुलाई हम आकर्षित करते हैं $4000 चैंसी डिपॉज़िट में
    ट्रेडिंग अकाउंट में $ 3,000 जमा करके जीतने का अवसर प्राप्त करें इस शर्त को पूरा करके आप प्रतियोगिता में भाग ले सकते हैं
    कॉन्टेस्ट में हिस्सा लें

अनुशंसित लेख

एथेरियम की मांग में तेजी

हाल के हफ़्तों में, इथेरियम ने ज़बरदस्त वृद्धि दर्ज की है, लेकिन अभी भी अपने ऐतिहासिक उच्चतम स्तर को पार नहीं कर पाया है। ज़ाहिर है, बाज़ार में नए निवेश

Jakub Novak 19:55 2025-07-23 UTC+2

21 जुलाई को क्रिप्टोकरेन्सी मार्केट के लिए ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन ने सप्ताहांत अपेक्षाकृत शांतिपूर्ण बिताया, $117,000 से $118,500 के दायरे में कारोबार करते हुए, जबकि एथेरियम ने मजबूती से बढ़त दर्ज की और अपना मासिक उच्च स्तर लगभग $3,800

Miroslaw Bawulski 13:11 2025-07-21 UTC+2

18 जुलाई के लिए क्रिप्टोक्यूरेंसी बाजार के लिए ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

आज बिटकॉइन $121,000 के स्तर तक वापस आया, लेकिन इसके ऊपर टिक नहीं पाया। इथेरियम ने $3,600 का स्तर तोड़ दिया। इसके अलावा, यह तथ्य भी है कि सभी आवश्यक

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:56 2025-07-18 UTC+2

सोलाना में शुक्रवार, 18 जुलाई, 2025 को अगले रेसिस्टेंस स्तर तक तेजी जारी रखने की संभावना है।

सोलाना – शुक्रवार, 18 जुलाई, 2025। EMA (50) और EMA (200) के बीच गोल्डन क्रॉस की स्थिति तथा RSI (14) का न्यूट्रल-बुलिश क्षेत्र में होना आज तेजी जारी रहने की

Arief Makmur 08:51 2025-07-18 UTC+2

18 जुलाई 2025 के लिए बिटकॉइन का पूर्वानुमान

कल, बिटकॉइन ने 117,730 के सपोर्ट लेवल का परीक्षण किया, डेली कैंडल पर लंबी निचली छाया बनी और दिन का समापन हरे प्राइस चैनल की अंदरूनी रेखा के ऊपर हुआ।

Laurie Bailey 05:57 2025-07-18 UTC+2

17 जुलाई को क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार के लिए ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन ने कल कई बार 120,000 के स्तर को पार करने की कोशिश की, लेकिन कामयाब नहीं हो पाया। दूसरी ओर, एथेरियम ने अपना काम पूरा किया और आसानी से

Miroslaw Bawulski 18:42 2025-07-17 UTC+2

बिटकॉइन अधर में

बिटकॉइन खरीदार कुछ हद तक भ्रमित प्रतीत होते हैं, क्योंकि वर्तमान में बाजार पर हावी FOMO उन लोगों के लिए प्रतिकूल हो सकता है जो "आखिरी ट्रेन" पर चढ़ने की

Jakub Novak 18:54 2025-07-15 UTC+2

15 जुलाई के लिए क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार पर ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन अपने सर्वकालिक उच्च स्तर $123,000 से गिरकर वर्तमान में $117,000 पर ट्रेड कर रहा है, जिससे इसकी आकर्षकता और बढ़ गई है। एथेरियम भी कल ही $3,200 से

Miroslaw Bawulski 10:05 2025-07-15 UTC+2

14 जुलाई को क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार के लिए ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन ने अपनी जीत का सिलसिला जारी रखते हुए $122,000 के ऊपर एक और सर्वकालिक उच्च स्तर छुआ। इथेरियम भी मज़बूत हुआ है और $3,000 से ऊपर कारोबार कर रहा

Miroslaw Bawulski 19:17 2025-07-14 UTC+2

14 जुलाई, 2025 के लिए बिटकॉइन का पूर्वानुमान

बिटकॉइन बिटकॉइन सामान्य बाजार की जोखिम से बचने की भावना के बीच भी अत्यंत साहस दिखा रहा है। हालांकि, यदि ऐसी भावना बनी रहती है, तो बिटकॉइन की वृद्धि की

Laurie Bailey 06:29 2025-07-14 UTC+2
अभी बात नहीं कर सकते?
अपना प्रश्न पूछें बातचीत.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.