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18.05.2021 03:02 PM
EUR/USD Hot Forecast for 18 May, 2021
  • EUR/USD finally breaks above the 1.2200 mark.
  • The continuation of the upside now targets 1.2243.

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EUR/USD extends the rebound from last week's lows in the 1.2050 region to the area above 1.2200. EUR/USD has extended its gains and has topped 1.22, the highest since February. The safe-haven dollar is weakening amid the risk-on mood and as the Fed sticks to its dovish policy. Eurozone GDP was confirmed at -0.6% in Q1.

The ongoing context allows for the continuation of the uptrend, at least in the very near-term, with the next hurdle at the February's high at 1.2243. A surpass of the latter should open the door to a probable visit to the YTD peaks in the mid-1.2300s (January 6).The constructive stance on EUR/USD is forecast to remain intact as long as it trades above the critical resistance turn support today at 1.2180.

However, notably, that the daily MACD has not confirmed the recent highs yet, which could be indicative of a bearish divergence and therefore a prelude to a corrective move in the short term. Support awaits at 1.2150, which was the high point in April. It is followed by 1.2105, 1.2075 and 1.2050.

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Jan Novotny
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