empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
23.01.2024 02:53 PM
Bitcoin made a downward breakdown of the $40k level: will the fall continue?
Open trading account Open demo account

More than a week has passed since the spot BTC-ETF approval and the local high update. During this time, the price of the cryptocurrency has decreased from $48.9k to $40k due to the unloading of portfolios by various categories of investors. This process began last week, but due to optimistic sentiments, buyers could maintain balance and absorb the free volumes of BTC.

This image is no longer relevant

However, the pace of sales significantly intensified, including those by institutional investors and miners. Concurrently, financial markets began to realize that a quick easing of monetary policy is not anticipated due to persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Considering these factors, Bitcoin's quotes continued to decline, and by January 22, the cryptocurrency made a bearish breakthrough of the $40k level.

Will the decline continue?

It's still early to say that the breakdown of the $40k level will be a prelude to another collapse in Bitcoin quotes. Before making any conclusions, it is necessary to wait for the end of the current trading day, when this fall may be recovered. However, the $40k level is extremely important, both from the point of view of the key support zone of the upward trend and psychologically. A breakdown and final consolidation below $40k may lead to a new wave of sales and, as a consequence, a deeper correction.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, analysts at Santiment note that large wallets are not resuming the accumulation of BTC or stablecoins. Without clear signals for the start of this process, one should not count on the resumption of a stable bullish rally. However, it is reported that individual large players continue to purchase BTC. Over the past day, BlackRock bought another 4,800 BTC, increasing the number of coins in its balance to 33,430 units.

This image is no longer relevant

The situation is complicated by publications in the media, where it was announced that Grayscale decided to sell BTC for $2.8 billion immediately after the approval of the spot BTC-ETF. Fundamental factors are also a significant reason for investors to refrain from buying cryptocurrency and to pay attention to the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. As of January 23, there are many more rational arguments in the market indicating the continuation of the downward movement of Bitcoin's price.

BTC/USD Analysis

As of January 22, Bitcoin formed a large bearish candle after consolidation and several attempts to break through the $40.5k level. Ultimately, the key support zone fell, which means that the structure of the upward trend, which began in October 2023, is under threat. Technically, Bitcoin continues to be at the support level, but if the trading day ends below the $40k level, the likelihood of further decline will significantly increase.

This image is no longer relevant

Technical metrics do not show signs of buyer activation; on the contrary, they signal complete seller dominance. The Stochastic continues its downward movement in the oversold zone, and the MACD has entered the red zone, indicating total bearish dominance. If successfully consolidated below $40k and further downward movement ensues, bears will head to the next support zone near the $38k level, where there was a prolonged period of accumulation.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the pessimism, one cannot rule out the possibility that the breakdown of the $40k level was necessary to collect liquidity, which reached $150 million. Therefore, there is a possibility of a pump in the BTC/USD price above $40k. In addition, it should not be forgotten that important macroeconomic statistics about the labor market and business activity in the U.S. are expected. These events can also bring back optimism to the cryptocurrency market and strengthen buying sentiments.

Conclusions

The current trading day could be decisive in determining the future trajectory of Bitcoin's price movement. If BTC/USD consolidates below $40k, the likelihood of a downward movement to $38k and lower will significantly increase. However, if the bulls turn the situation around and restore BTC above $40k, it could bring back confidence in Bitcoin's bullish trend and increase the volumes of purchases necessary to complete the correction.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Wave analysis
EUR/USD Analysis on June 11, 2025 The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has shifted into a bullish formation and continues to hold this shape. I believe there's little doubt that this transformation
Chin Zhao
19:00 2025-06-11 +02:00
1915
Wave analysis
GBP/USD Analysis on June 11, 2025 The wave structure for GBP/USD continues to suggest the formation of a bullish impulse wave pattern. The wave picture is nearly identical to that of EUR/USD. Until February
Chin Zhao
18:51 2025-06-11 +02:00
1450
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Solana spot ETF around corner

Right now, Solana is in the spotlight for traders. According to the latest reports, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has requested that potential Solana ETF issuers submit amended
Jakub Novak 16:23 2025-06-11 UTC+2

The Crypto Winter Is Becoming a Thing of the Past

Bitcoin is showing strong growth and came within a step of reaching a new all-time high. However, it's important to understand that taking this final step will be quite challenging
Jakub Novak 10:18 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 11

Bitcoin is undergoing a correction following yesterday's rapid surge to the $110,500 area, while Ethereum remains vibrant—having gained over 6% yesterday and currently trading at $2,785. Given such a strong
Miroslaw Bawulski 09:01 2025-06-11 UTC+2

Bitcoin Resumes Growth — And There Are Reasons Behind It

Bitcoin has resumed its upward movement, pulling other cryptocurrency assets along with it. Today's rise during the Asian session clearly points to a breakout of several major technical resistance levels
Jakub Novak 10:12 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 10

Bitcoin has finally broken through the $107,000 level, and during today's Asian trading session, it surged rapidly to around $110,000, stopping just a step away from updating its all-time high
Miroslaw Bawulski 09:30 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 9

Bitcoin has reached its recently favored level of $106,500 again, even though Friday's U.S. labor market data did not support this rise. Ethereum also strengthened over the weekend, but today's
Miroslaw Bawulski 09:21 2025-06-09 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Litecoin Cryptocurrency, Thursday June 05, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart of the Litecoin cryptocurrency, there is an appearance of a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern which indicates that there will be a strengthening in the near future
Arief Makmur 09:53 2025-06-05 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 5

Bitcoin is struggling to reach $106,000 less frequently and is dropping toward $104,000 more often, which is a rather concerning short-term signal. Sooner or later, this pattern could lead
Miroslaw Bawulski 09:20 2025-06-05 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 4

Bitcoin and Ethereum keep trying to break through key resistance levels but continue to face the same obstacle. On one hand, this suggests a cautious approach by major market players
Miroslaw Bawulski 09:19 2025-06-04 UTC+2

The Correlation Between BTC and Global M2 Liquidity Remains High

Bitcoin still cannot firmly hold above the $106,000 level, which raises certain concerns. While other altcoins and tokens have been performing much better, at least in recent days, the fact
Jakub Novak 09:17 2025-06-04 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 02:00 2025-06-13 UTC--5
The U.S. and China: A Small Step Forward. What's Next? (Potential for a reversal and decline in EUR/USD and NZD/USD pairs)
09:52 2025-06-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 02:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
GBP/USD. June 11th. UK Unemployment and US Inflation
10:56 2025-06-11
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 03:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
Results of the Second Round of U.S.–China Negotiations
11:32 2025-06-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 19:00 2025-06-11 UTC--5
GBP/USD Overview – June 11. What Will Inflation Influence?
03:31 2025-06-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 01:00 2025-06-12 UTC--5
EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 11. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades
09:00 2025-06-11
Forecast
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.