empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
10.04.2025 09:56 AM
Trump Maneuvers in Trade War With China (Potential for Continued Recovery in #SPX and AUD/USD)
Open trading account Open demo account

The U.S. President continues maneuvering actively, engaging in geopolitics, economics, and global financial markets.

Investors are asking: What happened on Wednesday? Why did the White House suddenly announce a truce or a 90-day pause in the tariff war, even though it had previously rejected one?

Metaphorically speaking, any Formula 1 driver would envy Trump's ability to make a sharp 180-degree turn like an acrobat—triggering a rally in U.S. stock indices that marked some of the strongest gains since the turn of the century. Equity markets in other countries also rushed to keep pace. Observing the situation, one gets the impression that the whole tariff narrative was orchestrated as a cover for the true objective: to intimidate China and inflict economic damage. Judging by Trump's words, half the world has already bowed to Washington, pleading for leniency.

However, Beijing did not flinch and responded with mirror tariffs. On the one hand, this was expected—rumors of a 90-day pause had been circulating. On the other hand, the official announcement made it a reality. Trump signaled to the countries that submitted to him that he would graciously lower tariffs to 10% during a 90-day negotiation period—but not for China.

Now, the markets are again suspended in a state of uncertainty. They don't know what the final outcome will be. From my perspective, this entire show was designed to remind the world of America's role and highlight China as its main economic rival. All the recent tariff rhetoric seems to be part of a cover operation. However, with Beijing holding firm, Trump must come up with something new to break China's resistance. A real trade war with China threatens to trigger a severe economic crisis in the U.S.—and the president knows it.

And the markets? They've been left in limbo again as the outcome of the U.S.-China standoff remains unclear. I believe Washington and Beijing will eventually have to reach an agreement. Juggling tariff rates won't lead to anything good. As I've previously mentioned, gradual de-escalation and a compromise between the two sides would be a positive development for markets, likely triggering a continued rally in equity indices and a recovery in commodity prices. The U.S. dollar may weaken if expectations grow that the Fed could cut interest rates this year due to slowing inflation—or even a downward price correction. Today's U.S. inflation data may support that view.

If the inflation report shows a decline, it would provide an additional boost for demand in equities, increase Treasury yields, and simultaneously weaken the U.S. dollar.

Overall, the current situation indicates a high probability of continued momentum in risk assets following yesterday's powerful rally and a continued decline in the dollar. Against this backdrop, interest in cryptocurrencies may also grow.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Forecast of the Day

#SPX

After yesterday's sharp rally, the S&P 500 futures CFD is consolidating below the 5500.00 level. If the inflation report confirms a drop in consumer prices, we could see a renewed surge toward 5682.45 and then 5787.50 after breaking above the 5500.00 resistance level. A potential entry point may be at 5519.92.

AUD/USD

The pair rose significantly amid yesterday's wave of optimism. Its upward movement may continue if U.S. consumer inflation shows signs of slowing. A breakout above the 0.6200 resistance level may push the pair toward 0.6280. A possible entry point lies at 0.6207.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast Gold is declining below the $3300 level today. U.S. PCE data met expectations. A shift in trade flows is helping the U.S. dollar regain positive momentum. This is also undermining
Irina Yanina
17:37 2025-05-30 +02:00
3040
Wave analysis
GBP/USD Analysis on May 30, 2025 The wave structure for GBP/USD continues to indicate the development of an upward impulsive wave pattern. The wave pattern is almost identical to that of EUR/USD. Until February
Chin Zhao
17:31 2025-05-30 +02:00
2455
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is declining below the $3300 level today. U.S. PCE data met expectations. A shift in trade flows is helping the U.S. dollar regain positive momentum. This is also undermining
Irina Yanina 17:37 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Inflation Is Almost Under Control

While the euro continues to hold its ground against the dollar, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Fabio Panetta indicated during an interview today that inflation in the eurozone
Jakub Novak 13:40 2025-05-30 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is attempting to regain positive momentum today, though traders remain cautious ahead of the key U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release. As a preferred inflation
Irina Yanina 13:22 2025-05-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/USD pair continues to struggle to recover after rebounding from the 1.1200 level reached earlier, showing a moderately negative bias, although the decline remains limited. The U.S. dollar
Irina Yanina 13:19 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Legal Disputes Between Trump and Companies Over Tariffs Will Negatively Impact Markets (There Is a Likelihood of Continued Decline in Bitcoin and Litecoin Prices)

Global markets are significantly influenced by events occurring in the United States, where both political and economic spheres continue to swing like a pendulum. Earlier this week, after the U.S
Pati Gani 11:11 2025-05-30 UTC+2

More Time is Needed

Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan indicated yesterday that it might take some time before policymakers understand how the economy will react to tariffs and other policy changes
Jakub Novak 10:53 2025-05-30 UTC+2

The ECB Should Not Delay Rate Cuts

While the euro is trying to regain its monthly highs after a fairly significant correction seen this week, a survey of several economists shows that the European Central Bank
Jakub Novak 10:49 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Markets Demand an Appeal

The S&P 500 started the day strong but ended on a downbeat note. Initially buoyed by the U.S. Court of International Trade's ruling that the White House's tariffs were illegal
Marek Petkovich 10:33 2025-05-30 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 30? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Several macroeconomic reports are set to be released on Friday, but none are deemed particularly significant. In Germany, the inflation report for May will be released, with expectations
Paolo Greco 06:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 30: Justice Has Prevailed, but for How Long?

The GBP/USD currency pair closed below the moving average line on Thursday, and the dollar strengthened for three consecutive days. However, everything changed in the second half
Paolo Greco 03:51 2025-05-30 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 11:00 2025-06-13 UTC--4
Trading Signals for GOLD for May 30, 2025: buy above $3,281 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)
17:35 2025-05-30
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 04:00 UTC--4
Legal Disputes Between Trump and Companies Over Tariffs Will Negatively Impact Markets (There Is a Likelihood of Continued Decline in Bitcoin and Litecoin Prices)
11:11 2025-05-30
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 11:00 2025-06-13 UTC--4
Trading Signals for EUR/USD for May 30, 2025: sell below 1.1350 (21 SMA - 5/8 Murray)
17:33 2025-05-30
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 02:00 2025-06-02 UTC--4
Markets Demand an Appeal
10:33 2025-05-30
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 10:00 2025-06-03 UTC--4
The Dollar Puts on a Brave Face Amid Adversity
00:50 2025-05-30
Fundamental analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.