empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
14.04.2025 12:59 AM
The US Dollar: Weekly Preview
Open trading account Open demo account

This image is no longer relevant

There will be a few significant events in the upcoming week. Of course, reports such as industrial production, retail sales, and new home sales should be noted. At first glance, they do not appear to be able to change market sentiment. While the European Central Bank meeting and UK inflation data at least have some potential to influence the market, the US data do not appear to carry such weight.

As a result, everything will come down to Donald Trump's decisions. The president may take a break, as endlessly imposing tariffs isn't feasible — it simply makes no sense. All countries have been granted a 90-day grace period, so we will likely not see new tariffs against them. China has so far stopped tariffs at 125% and has not yet responded to Trump's most recent increase to 145%. Therefore, a pause is also possible here. If the pause lasts at least a week, the US dollar may get a chance to recover slightly.

This image is no longer relevant

Unfortunately, we are talking about Trump, meaning making forecasts is essentially pointless. The current wave markings for both instruments suggest a new prolonged uptrend. However, if Trump pauses, it will be extremely difficult for the euro and the pound to continue rising. New tariffs have triggered every drop in the dollar in recent months. As I've said, wave analysis cannot be a primary reference point in forecasting under current conditions.

Wave Structure for EUR/USD:

Based on the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument is continuing to form a new upward trend segment. Donald Trump's actions have reversed the previous downward trend. As a result, the upcoming wave structure will entirely depend on the US president's stance and actions — something that must always be kept in mind.

From a purely wave-based perspective, a corrective wave structure is likely forming, typically consisting of three waves. However, wave 2 may already be complete. If this assumption is correct, wave 3 of the upward trend may have already begun — with potential targets reaching as high as the 1.25 area.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave Structure for GBP/USD:

The wave structure of the GBP/USD instrument has transformed. We are now dealing with an upward impulsive trend segment. Unfortunately, under Trump, markets may face numerous shocks and reversals that do not align with wave patterns or technical analysis. Therefore, at the moment, a corrective wave structure should be expected, the size of which will also depend on Trump. Afterward, the formation of wave 3 of the uptrend could follow — but only if Trump's trade policy doesn't make a complete U-turn, which currently seems unlikely.

Key Principles of My Analysis:

  1. Wave structures should be simple and understandable. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often change.
  2. If there is no confidence in what is happening in the market, it's better to stay out.
  3. Absolute certainty in market direction never exists. Don't forget protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can and should be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
The Bank of England to Slow Down the Pace of Policy Easing The Bank of England recently cut interest rates for the second time in 2025, justifying its decision with slowing inflation and steady movement toward the target level. But no sooner
Chin Zhao
00:05 2025-05-22 +02:00
1045
Fundamental analysis
The Dollar Sawed Off the Branch It Was Sitting On Can the euro be considered a strong currency? I have significant doubts about that. An independent group of economic advisors to Friedrich Merz forecasts that the German economy will enter
Marek Petkovich
00:05 2025-05-22 +02:00
1045
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

The Bank of England to Slow Down the Pace of Policy Easing

The Bank of England recently cut interest rates for the second time in 2025, justifying its decision with slowing inflation and steady movement toward the target level. But no sooner
Chin Zhao 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

The Dollar Sawed Off the Branch It Was Sitting On

Can the euro be considered a strong currency? I have significant doubts about that. An independent group of economic advisors to Friedrich Merz forecasts that the German economy will enter
Marek Petkovich 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

The Yen Goes on a Buyer Strike

A collapse in confidence in the U.S. dollar, rumors of coordinated currency intervention, and capital repatriation to Japan are driving USD/JPY back into a downtrend. The music playing
Marek Petkovich 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Continued Weakness in the U.S. Dollar

The four-week-long southern impulse we saw in EUR/USD has fully faded. Last week, sellers pushed the pair to a monthly low at 1.1066, but then seemed to "fear their
Irina Manzenko 18:59 2025-05-21 UTC+2

High Inflation Supports the Pound. GBP/USD Outlook

The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 2.6% to 3.5% in April, surprising the market, which had expected an increase to 3.3%. The core CPI also exceeded forecasts
Kuvat Raharjo 18:47 2025-05-21 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is attracting sellers for the third consecutive day. A break below the 1.3900 level signals increased selling pressure, which could lead to further downside. Rising oil prices—driven
Irina Yanina 18:41 2025-05-21 UTC+2

USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

For the third consecutive day, the USD/CHF pair continues to lose ground. The fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance remains to the downside. The pair has been
Irina Yanina 18:38 2025-05-21 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Following the release of UK consumer inflation data, which came in above expectations, the GBP/JPY pair slightly pared back its intraday losses. However, it failed to attract significant buying interest
Irina Yanina 11:25 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Will Global Central Banks Continue to Cut Interest Rates? (Bitcoin May Resume Growth and USD/JPY May Decline)

Among the economically developed nations—those that belong to the Western wing of the global economy—there is an important rule: a target of 2% inflation, specifically consumer inflation. Achieving this target
Pati Gani 09:46 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Market: Do or Die!

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. The S&P 500 rally from the April lows—adding $8.6 trillion in market cap—often appeared irrational. Investors ignored the Federal Reserve's
Marek Petkovich 08:23 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for May 21-25, 2025: buy above $3,281 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)
17:47 2025-05-21
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 20:00 UTC--4
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on May 21: The Euro Continues to Climb
03:48 2025-05-21
Trading plan
Relevance up to 20:00 UTC--4
EUR/USD Overview – May 21: The Theater of Chaos and Absurdity Continues
07:46 2025-05-21
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 03:00 UTC--4
Forecast for EUR/USD on May 21, 2025
11:19 2025-05-21
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 23:00 UTC--4
EUR/USD Forecast for May 21, 2025
05:19 2025-05-21
Technical analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.